U.S. and Iran Sign Ceasefire to End 110-Day War as Lebanon Flare-Up Tests Fragile Truce
The United States and Iran have signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding to halt hostilities and open a 60-day negotiation window, though immediate clashes in Lebanon and fierce backlash from Israel threaten the deal's survival.
By Factlen Editorial Team
- The Israeli Establishment
- Views the deal as a strategic betrayal that erases military gains and leaves Iran's proxy network intact.
- The U.S. Administration
- Frames the memorandum as a necessary diplomatic breakthrough that stabilizes global markets and ends a costly war.
- The Iranian Leadership
- Accepts the ceasefire pragmatically to lift crippling blockades, while insulating top clerics from potential failure.
- International Observers
- Expresses skepticism over the deal's durability, noting that core nuclear and sanctions issues are merely deferred.
What's not represented
- · Lebanese Civilians
- · Gulf Arab States
Why this matters
This agreement pauses a conflict that has severely disrupted global energy markets and drained tens of billions of dollars, but its fragility means the threat of a wider Middle Eastern war remains imminent if the 60-day negotiation window collapses.
Key points
- The U.S. and Iran signed a 14-point memorandum ending the 110-day war.
- The deal establishes a 60-day window to negotiate a final settlement.
- A deadly flare-up in Lebanon briefly threatened the truce before a renewed ceasefire was reached.
- Iran will down-blend its 440kg uranium stockpile domestically under IAEA supervision.
- Israeli officials have fiercely condemned the deal as a strategic surrender.
- The U.S. will lift its naval blockade and Iran will reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
After 110 days of devastating asymmetric warfare, the United States and Iran have signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding to end the conflict known as Operation Epic Fury. The agreement, finalized remotely by U.S. President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, halts military operations across all fronts and initiates a fragile 60-day window to negotiate a permanent settlement.[2][4]
But the ink was barely dry before the truce faced a severe stress test. A deadly flare-up in southern Lebanon overnight on Thursday threatened to collapse the entire framework. Hezbollah ambushed an Israeli tank, killing four soldiers, prompting Israel to launch its deadliest strikes since the U.S.-Iran deal was announced, killing at least 18 Lebanese civilians.[1][3]
The violence forced U.S. and Iranian officials to abruptly postpone implementation talks scheduled for Friday in Switzerland, with U.S. Vice President JD Vance delaying his trip. The crisis was only defused after Trump personally intervened, urging Israeli officials to accept a ceasefire with the Iranian-backed militant group, which took effect late Friday afternoon.[1][2][3]
The "Islamabad Memorandum," brokered heavily by Pakistan and Qatar, mandates an immediate end to the U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports and requires Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping. Crucially, the text explicitly includes Lebanon in the cessation of hostilities, effectively requiring Iran to rein in Hezbollah while demanding Israel halt its cross-border offensive.[4][8]

However, the memorandum defers the most intractable disputes to a 60-day negotiation period. Core issues—such as the permanent termination of U.S. primary and secondary sanctions and the exact constraints on Iran's future nuclear capacity—remain unresolved, leaving the global economy bracing for potential renewed volatility if talks fail.[4][6]
On the nuclear front, Washington made a significant concession. Rather than forcing Iran to surrender its 440-kilogram stockpile of highly enriched uranium, the agreement permits Tehran to down-blend the material domestically under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency. Critics note this is nearly identical to terms Iran offered before the war began.[4][6]
On the nuclear front, Washington made a significant concession.
In Israel, the agreement has triggered a political meltdown. Officials across the spectrum are furious, characterizing the deal as a strategic surrender that leaves Iran's nuclear infrastructure intact and abandons Israel's security imperatives. Prominent figures have accused the U.S. administration of throwing the Jewish state "under the bus."[5][7]
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu appears increasingly isolated. Reports indicate he was sidelined during the final negotiations, learning of the memorandum's damning clauses from the press. While Netanyahu vowed that Israel would maintain its security buffer in southern Lebanon "for as long as required," the U.S.-Iran framework fundamentally undermines Israel's campaign to permanently dismantle Hezbollah's presence.[1][4][5]

In Tehran, the newly assembled leadership is navigating its own domestic tightrope. Following the death of Ali Khamenei in the war's opening airstrikes, the new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, issued a letter endorsing the deal in principle to rescue the battered economy. However, he explicitly deferred responsibility to President Pezeshkian, insulating himself from blame if the U.S. reneges on its commitments.[2]
Legal observers caution that the memorandum rests on shaky institutional ground. Because it is an executive understanding rather than a formal treaty requiring U.S. Senate ratification, its durability relies entirely on "good faith" and a prospective, binding resolution from the United Nations Security Council.[6]
The inclusion of Lebanon in a bilateral pact between Washington and Tehran has also laid bare the structural reality of the Levant. Lebanon's fate is being dictated by foreign powers, highlighting a chronic sovereignty deficit where local factions rely on external patrons who negotiate ceasefires over Lebanese territory.[8]
As the guns temporarily fall silent, the strategic math of the 110-day war is coming under intense scrutiny. The conflict drained tens of billions from the Pentagon, fractured the U.S.-Israeli alliance, and inflicted heavy civilian tolls, only to arrive at a diplomatic framework that leaves the region's underlying power dynamics largely unchanged.[4][5]

All eyes now turn to the delayed negotiations in Switzerland. With the Lebanon border tentatively quieted, American and Iranian diplomats have exactly two months to transform a precarious ceasefire into a comprehensive peace settlement—or risk plunging the Middle East back into a catastrophic regional war.[1][3]
How we got here
Feb 28, 2026
U.S. and Israel launch Operation Epic Fury, sparking the 110-day war.
June 14, 2026
U.S. and Iran reach an agreement on the final text of the ceasefire.
June 17, 2026
President Trump and President Pezeshkian sign the 14-point Islamabad Memorandum.
June 18, 2026
A deadly flare-up between Israel and Hezbollah threatens the truce.
June 19, 2026
Following U.S. pressure, Israel and Hezbollah agree to a renewed ceasefire in Lebanon.
Viewpoints in depth
The Israeli Establishment
Viewing the deal as a strategic betrayal that emboldens Iran.
Across the political spectrum, Israeli leaders argue that the U.S. abandoned its ally to secure a quick exit from a costly war. They point out that the agreement leaves Iran's proxy network intact and fails to permanently dismantle Tehran's nuclear capabilities, effectively erasing the military achievements of the past 110 days.
The U.S. Administration
Framing the memorandum as a necessary off-ramp from an unwinnable war.
U.S. officials emphasize that the deal stabilizes global energy markets by reopening the Strait of Hormuz and halts the daily drain of billions of dollars from the Pentagon. They argue that a 60-day negotiation window is the most realistic path to securing binding constraints on Iran's nuclear program without endless asymmetric warfare.
The Iranian Leadership
Accepting a pragmatic truce to lift crippling economic blockades.
For Tehran, the ceasefire is a vital economic lifeline. While Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has publicly expressed misgivings to insulate himself from domestic backlash, the government views the lifting of the U.S. naval blockade and the preservation of domestic uranium down-blending as major diplomatic victories.
What we don't know
- Whether the 60-day negotiation window will produce a permanent treaty or collapse into renewed fighting.
- How Israel will adapt its military posture if Hezbollah refuses to withdraw from the Lebanese border.
- The exact timeline for the U.S. to lift primary and secondary economic sanctions on Iran.
Key terms
- Islamabad Memorandum
- A 14-point framework agreement signed by the U.S. and Iran to halt hostilities and open a 60-day negotiation window.
- Operation Epic Fury
- The U.S. military designation for the 110-day asymmetric war against Iran that began in February 2026.
- Down-blending
- The process of diluting highly enriched uranium into a lower-concentration form that cannot be used for nuclear weapons.
- Primary and Secondary Sanctions
- Direct economic restrictions imposed by the U.S. (primary) and penalties applied to foreign entities that do business with the sanctioned country (secondary).
Frequently asked
Did the U.S.-Iran deal end the fighting in Lebanon?
Yes, the memorandum explicitly includes a cessation of hostilities in Lebanon, though a brief flare-up between Israel and Hezbollah required a renewed, separate ceasefire days later.
What happens to Iran's nuclear program?
Iran is permitted to keep its 440-kilogram stockpile of highly enriched uranium but must down-blend it domestically under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency.
Why is Israel angry about the agreement?
Israeli officials believe the deal abandons their security interests, leaves Iran's nuclear infrastructure intact, and erases the military gains made during the 110-day war.
Is the memorandum a permanent peace treaty?
No. It is an executive understanding that establishes a 60-day window to negotiate a final, comprehensive settlement regarding sanctions and nuclear constraints.
Sources
[1]The Washington PostThe U.S. Administration
Clashes in Lebanon seemed to imperil the U.S.-Iran peace deal
Read on The Washington Post →[2]The GuardianThe Iranian Leadership
What lessons will Iran's new leadership draw from the 110-day war?
Read on The Guardian →[3]CBS NewsThe U.S. Administration
Israel and Hezbollah agree to a ceasefire, diplomat briefed on the deal says
Read on CBS News →[4]The Times of IsraelThe Israeli Establishment
With Trump's Iran deal, the October 7 wars are over. Israel really has no idea what to do next.
Read on The Times of Israel →[5]The Jerusalem PostThe Israeli Establishment
Trump's deal with Iran means he has thrown the Jewish state under the bus
Read on The Jerusalem Post →[6]Chatham HouseInternational Observers
Are the US and Iran returning to compliance with international law?
Read on Chatham House →[7]Al JazeeraThe Iranian Leadership
Trump's Iran deal, Israel's meltdown
Read on Al Jazeera →[8]Institute for the Study of WarInternational Observers
Iran Update, June 15, 2026
Read on Institute for the Study of War →
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