AFL Power Rankings: Fremantle and Sydney Emerge as 2026 Premiership Heavyweights
As the 2026 AFL season crosses its midway point, a blistering 12-game winning streak from Fremantle and record-breaking scoring by the Sydney Swans have reshaped the premiership race.
By Factlen Editorial Team
- Fremantle Optimists
- Supporters who believe the Dockers' suffocating defense makes them the undisputed premiership favorites.
- Sydney Purists
- Analysts who argue that the Swans' unmatched offensive firepower gives them the edge in any shootout.
- Victorian Traditionalists
- Commentators maintaining that battle-tested Victorian clubs will peak when it matters most in September.
What's not represented
- · Supporters of rebuilding clubs
- · Draft analysts
Why this matters
For fans and analysts, the 2026 season is shaping up to be a thrilling two-horse race between a defensive juggernaut in the West and an attacking powerhouse in the East, completely upending pre-season predictions and shifting the balance of power away from traditional Victorian strongholds.
Key points
- Fremantle has claimed the top spot in the power rankings with a historic 12-game winning streak.
- The Sydney Swans sit closely behind, boasting a 10-2 record and the league's most potent attack.
- Geelong and Hawthorn both suffered unexpected losses in Round 13, widening the gap at the top.
- The 2026 season is increasingly looking like a two-horse race between the interstate heavyweights.
The 2026 Australian Football League season has reached its midway point, and the premiership power rankings have undergone a seismic shift. Traditional Victorian powerhouses are finding themselves outpaced by two distinct, high-flying juggernauts: a suffocating defensive fortress in the West and an unrelenting attacking machine in the East. Fans who expected a predictable, steady march to September are instead being treated to one of the most dynamic and unexpected form reversals in recent memory, as interstate clubs assert total dominance over the competition and rewrite the tactical playbook.[1][5]
At the undisputed number one spot sits the Fremantle Dockers. Riding a historic 12-game winning streak, Justin Longmuir’s men have transformed into the league’s most terrifying prospect. After years of steady building and occasional heartbreak, the Western Australian side has finally synthesized their tactical discipline into a flawless on-field product, suffocating opponents with a team defense that refuses to yield easy inside-50 entries and forces turnovers at a staggering rate across the middle of the ground, leaving opposition forwards starved of opportunity.[2][4]
Their dominance was on full, spectacular display in Round 13, where they delivered a club-record 124-point drubbing to North Melbourne in Bunbury. The comprehensive 155 to 31 victory showcased a team operating at the absolute peak of its powers, ruthlessly punishing turnovers and transitioning the ball with a speed that left the Kangaroos completely paralyzed. Every line operated in perfect synergy, from the intercepting defenders who launched the counter-attacks to the dynamic forwards who capitalized on every entry, sending a chilling warning to the rest of the league.[2][4]

"Our fans have every right to be excited," Longmuir admitted in the aftermath of the blowout, granting long-suffering supporters a rare license to dream of a maiden premiership. However, the coach was quick to temper expectations internally, reminding his squad that the ultimate prize is still months away and that the intensity of finals football requires an entirely different level of preparation. He emphasized that the group must remain grounded, focusing strictly on the week-to-week process rather than getting swept up in the external hype surrounding their historic run.[2]
Breathing down Fremantle’s neck in the power rankings are the Sydney Swans. Under the guidance of second-year coach Dean Cox, who seamlessly took the reins from club legend John Longmire, the Swans have built a formidable 10-2 record on the back of devastating offensive firepower. They have evolved from a gritty, contested-ball team into a free-flowing scoring machine, utilizing the full width of the ground to stretch opposition defenses to their breaking point and create high-percentage scoring opportunities.[3][7]
Breathing down Fremantle’s neck in the power rankings are the Sydney Swans.
Sydney’s resilience was severely tested in a Round 13 thriller against St Kilda at the SCG. Trailing for most of the afternoon and struggling to find their usual rhythm against a disciplined Saints outfit, the Swans snatched a dramatic 104-102 victory thanks to a frantic, late snap from Jai Serong. The comeback proved they possess the mental fortitude to win even when their primary game plan is heavily disrupted, a crucial trait for any serious premiership contender.[1][5]

This gritty, come-from-behind win perfectly complements their established ability to blow teams completely off the park—evidenced by their recent 114-point mauling of Richmond. Club greats and analysts alike have heaped praise on Cox for maintaining the Swans' famously elite cultural standards while successfully injecting a new, high-octane attacking flair that has electrified the fanbase. The seamless coaching transition has ensured that Sydney hasn't missed a beat, seamlessly blending veteran experience with youthful exuberance.[3][7]
Meanwhile, the chasing pack of Victorian contenders stumbled dramatically during the same weekend. The Geelong Cats, widely considered the most likely challengers to the top two, suffered a shock 75-74 loss to the Adelaide Crows. The one-point defeat slightly dented their aura of invincibility and highlighted potential vulnerabilities against rapid ball movement, proving that even the most experienced, battle-tested squads are susceptible to the rising tide of pressure in this highly competitive 2026 season.[1][6]
The Hawthorn Hawks also missed a golden opportunity to solidify their top-four credentials, falling 77-71 in a fiercely contested battle against the Western Bulldogs. These simultaneous upsets have created a clear, undeniable buffer between the top two interstate sides and the rest of the competition, reshaping the mathematical probabilities of the top-four race. The chasing pack now faces an uphill battle to close the percentage gap and secure the vital double-chance for the upcoming finals series.[1][5]

As the competition heads into the crucial mid-season bye rounds, the narrative for the remainder of the year is firmly set. Fremantle will look to rest their weary legs and integrate returning stars like Caleb Serong, ensuring their squad is fully primed for the back half of the campaign. Simultaneously, Sydney aims to refine its defensive structures ahead of a grueling winter schedule that will undoubtedly test their depth and resolve against desperate teams fighting for a spot in the top eight.[2][4]
For neutral fans and football purists, the prospect of a Fremantle-Sydney Grand Final is becoming increasingly tantalizing. With contrasting styles, unmatched momentum, and elite coaching, the two interstate heavyweights have officially put the rest of the AFL on notice. If they can maintain their current trajectories, the road to the 2026 premiership will run entirely outside of Victoria, setting the stage for a historic and unforgettable conclusion to a season that has defied all traditional expectations.[5][7]
How we got here
March 2026
The AFL season begins with Sydney and Geelong establishing early dominance.
April 2026
Fremantle ignites a massive winning streak, holding opponents to remarkably low scores.
May 2026
Sydney demolishes Richmond by 114 points, cementing their status as the league's most potent attack.
June 2026
Fremantle extends their streak to 12 games with a 124-point win over North Melbourne, taking the outright number one spot.
Viewpoints in depth
The Western Juggernaut
Fremantle supporters believe their suffocating defense makes them the undisputed premiership favorites.
For Fremantle optimists, the 2026 season represents the culmination of a long, methodical rebuild under Justin Longmuir. They point to the team's historic 12-game winning streak and their ability to completely dismantle opponents—like their 124-point win over North Melbourne—as proof that their defensive structures are impenetrable. This camp argues that defense wins premierships, and no team is currently better at restricting opposition scoring while ruthlessly capitalizing on counter-attacks.
The Eastern Entertainers
Sydney purists argue that the Swans' unmatched offensive firepower gives them the edge in any shootout.
Sydney's camp points to the scoreboard as the ultimate arbiter of success. Under Dean Cox, the Swans have embraced a high-octane, attacking style that has yielded massive victories and thrilling comebacks alike. Supporters argue that while Fremantle's defense is formidable, Sydney's ability to score heavily and rapidly—evidenced by their 114-point demolition of Richmond and their clutch win over St Kilda—makes them impossible to contain for a full four quarters.
The Victorian Chasers
Traditionalists maintain that battle-tested Victorian clubs will peak when it matters most in September.
Despite the current dominance of Fremantle and Sydney, Victorian traditionalists urge caution. They argue that the home-and-away season is a marathon, and teams like Geelong and Hawthorn have the finals experience required to navigate the high-pressure environment of September. This perspective suggests that mid-season stumbles are merely blips on the radar, and that the true test of a premiership contender is their ability to perform at the MCG on Grand Final day, a venue where Victorian teams historically hold a distinct advantage.
What we don't know
- Whether Fremantle's defense can hold up against Sydney's elite scoring power in a high-stakes finals match.
- If traditional Victorian powerhouses like Geelong can correct their mid-season form slumps in time for September.
Key terms
- Minor Premiership
- The title awarded to the team that finishes at the top of the ladder at the end of the home-and-away season.
- Percentage
- A crucial tie-breaking metric in the AFL, calculated by dividing points scored by points conceded and multiplying by 100.
- Inside-50
- A statistical metric recording when a team moves the ball into their attacking 50-meter arc, creating a scoring opportunity.
Frequently asked
Who is currently coaching the Sydney Swans?
Dean Cox is in his second year as senior coach, having taken over from long-time coach John Longmire at the end of the 2024 season.
Has Fremantle ever won an AFL Premiership?
No, the Fremantle Dockers entered the league in 1995 and have only reached one Grand Final, which they lost to Hawthorn in 2013.
What happened to Geelong in Round 13?
The Geelong Cats suffered a surprise 75-74 defeat to the Adelaide Crows, slightly denting their top-two aspirations.
Sources
[1]Fox SportsVictorian Traditionalists
AFL 2026, Power Rankings after Round 11 | AFL analysis
Read on Fox Sports →[2]AAPFremantle Optimists
Freo fans urged to fire up as coach maintains focus
Read on AAP →[3]Sydney Swans MediaSydney Purists
Swans steal stunning comeback win to deny impressive Saints
Read on Sydney Swans Media →[4]Fremantle Dockers MediaFremantle Optimists
Dazzling Freo record a record win over Roos
Read on Fremantle Dockers Media →[5]AFL.com.auVictorian Traditionalists
Round 13 Review: Swans survive scare, Freo fly high
Read on AFL.com.au →[6]Herald SunVictorian Traditionalists
Cats stunned: Geelong's top-two hopes take a hit in Adelaide thriller
Read on Herald Sun →[7]The AgeSydney Purists
The Dean Cox era takes flight as Swans find new ways to win
Read on The Age →
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